Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets
ReadFor the uninitiated, on prediction markets, when the trade settles, those who bet on the correct outcome get $1 per contract purchased, and those who bought "shares" in the incorrect one get zero. The contract's value can be read like a poll; a contract with a value of 40 cents could be read as a 40% chance of the prediction coming true.

