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Oliver-Knight
10 months, 3 weeks ago

Crypto Markets Today: BTC Price Rises, but Faces Make-or-Break Resistance

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The crypto market slowly chipped away at last week's grueling sell-off this week, with bitcoin BTC $ 90,370.62 rising to $91,500, the highest since Nov. 20, and the ether ETH $ 2,977.76 price hitting highs above $3,000 for three straight days.

The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20) has gained 6.3% so far this week, on track for the biggest one-week gain since Oct. 5.

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But it isn't out of the woods. Bitcoin needs to break out of a downward channel dating back to early October with a clear break above $98,000 and, ideally, consolidation above $100,000.

Failure to do so would form another lower high, confirming the negative trend and a potential bearish reversal from early October's $126,000 record high.

The Fear and Greed Index is still flashing 20/100, indicating "extreme fear," although this has increased from 10/100 last week to demonstrate that sentiment is shifting in a positive direction.

The altcoin market remains little changed as investors appear to prefer the relative consistency of the market's biggest asset.

Derivatives positioning

Volmex's BVIV, the 30-day implied volatility index, continues to drop, reversing the mid-November spike. The decline is consistent with a pull back in Wall Street's VIX index and suggests the panic is ebbing.

The Deribit-listed options market suggests the same. While BTC and ETH short- and near-dated puts continue to trade pricier than calls, the spread has narrowed in a sign of weakening demand for downside protection.

Speaking of 24-hour block flows, ether traders have had a bias for risk reversals and strangles. BTC traders chased put spreads.

On OTC network Paradigm, activity was concentrated in the higher strike out-the-money ether calls

In the futures market, ZEC's open interest (OI) has dropped by 5%, leading the drop in other major tokens such as BTC, ETH, BNB and SUI.

Funding rates for ZEC and SOL remain negative, a sign of bias for bearish short positions. Other tokens continue to see marginally positive rates.

On the CME, BTC futures OI remains at multi-month lows, with ether OI hovering around 2 million ETH, down from the record high of 2.66 million ETH in late October.

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