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Will Canny
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Clarity Act still faces long road despite Senate progress, says Jefferies

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The Clarity Act still faces significant hurdles despite clearing the Senate Banking Committee, with investment bank Jefferies warning that political uncertainty could fuel volatility across crypto markets in the coming weeks.

The bill passed committee in a bipartisan 15-9 vote earlier this year, but the bank warned that tougher challenges lie ahead. Polymarket now puts the odds of passage by the end of 2026 at 48%, down from 70% in mid-May as concerns over ethics provisions, illicit finance and limited Senate floor time weigh on its prospects.

Lawmakers have roughly 20 legislative days before the August recess to merge competing Senate versions, clear procedural votes, reconcile the measure with the House bill and send it to President Donald Trump.

"Failure to pass Clarity before the August recess could push the bill out to next year, or even later, if Democrats flip the Senate in November," analysts led by Andrew Moss said in the Tuesday report.
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