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Omkar Godbole
3 months, 2 weeks ago

BTC inflation quagmire gets sticker as renewed Iran conflict sends oil price soaring: Crypto Daily

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Market analysts tracking the macroeconomy will find bitcoin BTC $ 62,055.24 in a particularly intriguing spot right now, characterized by conflicting sets of inflation signals. Compounding the uncertainty is the latest flare-up in the conflict with Iran and its effect on oil prices.

Early this week, we noted how inflation breakevens — the bond market’s expectations for the cost of living over the next year and beyond — have come off sharply, weakening the case for Fed interest-rate increases. That’s a tailwind for BTC.

But U.S. consumers are not in sync with markets, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey released Tuesday.

They now expect inflation to rise to 3.7% over the next 12 months, up from 3.5% in May and the highest reading since September 2023. Looking forward for the next three years, expectations climbed to 3.3%, the most since June 2022.

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has said that the central bank remains committed to bringing inflation down to 2%, disappointing anyone who expects it to tolerate higher inflation or give in to White House pressure for rate cuts.
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