Bitcoin Sell-off Capped At $70K But Data Points To Rebound
ReadBitcoin (BTC) dropped below $69,000 on Thursday, pulling the price back into its six-week range just days after tapping range highs above $76,000.The pullback coincides with increased selling in Bitcoin futures markets and stalled demand from US-based investors, but the chance of a rebound rally remains. A recurring chart pattern suggests that BTC could resume its bullish trend if the necessary conditions are met.Bitcoin futures set the trend as spot demand fadesThe latest pullback aligns with a visible shift in derivatives’ dominance over spot activity. The Coinbase premium gap turned negative after a period of steady demand, suggesting weak follow-through among US-based investors.Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap. Source: CryptoQuantMeanwhile, crypto analyst IT Tech noted a clear imbalance between the spot and perpetual futures. The cumulative volume delta (CVD), which tracks net buying versus selling across markets, fell by $40.64 million in the spot CVD, while the perpetual CVD fell by $506.75 million, highlighting stronger selling pressure from leveraged traders.Bitcoin funding rate. Source: CryptoQuantHowever, the funding rates have flipped positive to 0.05%, meaning long positions are now paying shorts, indicating a long bias across the derivatives markets.The order book data shows bid-side support holding near $70,000, with both spot and perpetual markets leaning toward buyers.Related: OP_NET launches Bitcoin DeFi push without bridges or wrapped BTCFractal setup mirrors early-March bounceOn the lower time frames, Bitcoin is forming a similar fractal setup to the March 6 through March 8 correction when the price declined and swept internal liquidity levels before reversing higher on the charts.The current move follows the same sequence, with successive lower lows developing into a potential exhaustion phase for the price.BTC price, liquidation, RSI bullish divergence analysis. Source: velo.dataIn the prior breakout, the reversal aligned with a bullish divergence on the relative strength index (RSI), where RSI held equal lows while price printed a lower low. The pattern signaled a fading momentum from sellers. A comparable divergence is now developing, reinforcing the bullish fractal structure.The liquidation data also supports this setup. Significant long-side liquidations have been observed on both occasions, reducing the open interest and flushing out overleveraged positions.A swift reclaim of $70,000 aligns with the previous fractal recovery path, opening a move toward $76,000. The $72,000 level acts as the key pivot, where a reclaim may trigger a short squeeze if short positions get trapped.However, the setup remains time-sensitive. A breakdown below $68,300 shifts focus toward the $65,000 and $62,000 levels, where higher-time-frame liquidity sits for BTC.Trading Stables founder Ryan Scott flagged $73,000 as a key base level, noting that a failure to stabilize above this level signals a weak buyer response, raising the chance of a drop toward range lows near $62,000.Related: Bitcoin prediction markets see 70% chance BTC price crashes to $55K in 2026

