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Francisco Rodrigues
8 months, 1 week ago

Bitcoin (BTC), major tokens drop as traders position for downside protection: Crypto Markets Today

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Crypto markets opened the week under pressure, extending losses after a volatile weekend as bitcoin BTC $ 68,918.69 showed tentative signs of stabilizing below $70,000.

Even though the largest cryptocurrency dropped more than 2.8% in the last 24 hours, it remains well off its recent lows of around $60,000. Still, it has struggled to regain momentum after last week's steep drop that reignited debate over whether the market has entered a deeper bear phase or is nearing a bottom.

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Bitcoin bulls pointed to slowing downside moves as a sign of exhaustion, even as critics took victory laps. Nevertheless, attention is being paid to software stocks, some of which started to rebound as concerns of a deeper collapse ease.

The CoinDesk 5 Index (CD5) fell 3.4%, with all five of the largest cryptocurrencies declining. Ether ETH $ 2,063.57 dropped about 5%, underperforming bitcoin as traders cut risk across major tokens, but held above the psychological support at $2,000. The broader CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index is down 3.7%.

Derivatives Positioning

BTC futures are seeing a clear bearish shift after open interest (OI) slid from $19 billion to $16 billion over the last week, marking a period of sustained deleveraging.

Funding rates on Bybit (-2.24%) and Binance (-0.5%) have flipped neutral-to-negative, signaling that short sellers are now leading the narrative. With the three-month basis compressing to 3%, institutional demand has cooled, reflecting a broader derivatives landscape dominated by risk-off sentiment.

Options data confirms this defensive shift, with one-week 25-delta skew for BTC rising to 20% and call dominance dropping to 48%.

The implied volatility (IV) term structure is now in extreme backwardation, with front-end volatility at 85.03% dwarfing long-term expectations (~50%). That's a massive premium for immediate protection against near-term price drops.

Coinglass data shows $397 million in 24-hour liquidations, with a 45-55 split between longs and shorts. BTC ($234 million), ETH ($74 million) and SOL ($14 million) were the leaders in terms of notional liquidations.

The Binance liquidation heatmap indicates $68,160 as a core liquidation level to monitor in case of a price drop.

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