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Oliver Knight
6 months ago

Bitcoin battles $76,000 resistance as traders clash over potential breakout: Crypto Markets Today

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Bitcoin BTC $ 75,253.50 is testing $76,000 for a third day, trading at $75,440 as bullish traders continue to chip away at $450 million of sell orders between $75,900 and $76,300, CoinGlass data shows.

The orders will be placed by traders who are either attempting to short the range-high in expectation of a reversion to around $68,000, and those defending against a breakout with liquidation risk above.

U.S. equities surged to record highs on Thursday as the war in Iran appears to be winding down following a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon.

The crypto market outperformed equities since the start of the war, and is now taking a back seat.

Derivatives positioning

Activity in the crypto futures market has picked up, with bitcoin briefly topping $76,000 during European trading hours. Total market volume has risen 28% to $225.8 billion, while open interest (OI) has edged up over 1.5% to $126.68 billion.

More notably, total liquidations have surged 140% to $529 million, with short positions slightly exceeding longs, suggesting a mild short squeeze and building of upward pressure in the market.

Solana's SOL is leading the growth in OI among the biggest cryptocurrencies. In 24 hours, the number of active contracts in Solana futures has increased by 11% to 5.53 billion SOL, the most since March 18. Dogecoin is another standout, with OI hovering at the six-month high of 14.17 billion DOGE.

SOL’s capital inflows appear to be driven by rising appetite for bullish positioning, with the positive funding rates and 24-hour OI-adjusted cumulative volume delta (CVD) signaling increasingly aggressive buying pressure.

Signals for dogecoin remain mixed, as a positive CVD points to buying pressure, while slightly negative funding rates suggest lingering bearish sentiment among derivatives traders.

Cardano's ADA leads on an OI-adjusted CVD basis, pointing to strong buyer dominance and bullish positioning.

The volatility meltdown continues, pointing to market calm and supporting further bullish price action. BTC's 30-day implied volatility index (BVIV) has slipped to a fresh 2.5-month low of 43.35%. Ether's index, EVIV, hovers near the recent low of around 65%.

On Deribit, BTC and ETH options continue to show a bias for puts as a sign of lingering downside fears. Overall, the market looks positioned for gains, but it is not yet willing to go full-bull.

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